Traders overwhelmingly back 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, reflecting strong model consensus from New Zealand’s MetService and international forecasts showing stable spring conditions with daytime maxima pinned near that level. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate minimal variability from typical early-September baselines, where mean highs hover around 13–15°C under moderate westerly flows and limited cloud cover. Key resolution criteria center on official maximum readings at the Kelburn station. While the 99.5% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from unexpected frontal passages or rapid model updates altering the afternoon peak by 1–2°C before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de setembro?
15°C 99.5%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$48,007 Vol.
$48,007 Vol.
2 set 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.5%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$48,007 Vol.
$48,007 Vol.
2 set 2026
10°C or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,205 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,081 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,365 Vol.
100%
16°C
$11,676 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,361 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,022 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly back 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, reflecting strong model consensus from New Zealand’s MetService and international forecasts showing stable spring conditions with daytime maxima pinned near that level. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate minimal variability from typical early-September baselines, where mean highs hover around 13–15°C under moderate westerly flows and limited cloud cover. Key resolution criteria center on official maximum readings at the Kelburn station. While the 99.5% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from unexpected frontal passages or rapid model updates altering the afternoon peak by 1–2°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$48,007Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly back 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, reflecting strong model consensus from New Zealand’s MetService and international forecasts showing stable spring conditions with daytime maxima pinned near that level. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate minimal variability from typical early-September baselines, where mean highs hover around 13–15°C under moderate westerly flows and limited cloud cover. Key resolution criteria center on official maximum readings at the Kelburn station. While the 99.5% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from unexpected frontal passages or rapid model updates altering the afternoon peak by 1–2°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,007Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 15°C as Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, reflecting strong model consensus from New Zealand’s MetService and international forecasts showing stable spring conditions with daytime maxima pinned near that level. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs indicate minimal variability from typical early-September baselines, where mean highs hover around 13–15°C under moderate westerly flows and limited cloud cover. Key resolution criteria center on official maximum readings at the Kelburn station. While the 99.5% implied probability signals high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from unexpected frontal passages or rapid model updates altering the afternoon peak by 1–2°C before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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