Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 2 de setembro?
33°C 75%
32°C 26%
34°C 2%
36°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
26%
33°C
75%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 75%
32°C 26%
34°C 2%
36°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
28°C or below
$259 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,063 Vol.
26%
33°C
$4,598 Vol.
75%
34°C
$563 Vol.
2%
35°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,934Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,934Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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