Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and low humidity typical of early Mediterranean autumn. This consensus, with many runs peaking near 32°C and minimal deviation expected, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for that outcome. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, while current model agreement and absence of heat-wave signals or significant cloud cover limit upside potential to 33°C or higher. Traders are monitoring any final model updates or official station readings for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 1º de setembro?
32°C 78%
33°C 22%
34°C 1.6%
31°C 1.1%
NOVO
$15,847 Vol.
NOVO
$15,847 Vol.
1 set 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
78%
33°C
22%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 78%
33°C 22%
34°C 1.6%
31°C 1.1%
NOVO
$15,847 Vol.
NOVO
$15,847 Vol.
1 set 2026
30°C or below
$891 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,020 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,232 Vol.
78%
33°C
$5,483 Vol.
22%
34°C
$1,102 Vol.
2%
35°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$760 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,196 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$340 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and low humidity typical of early Mediterranean autumn. This consensus, with many runs peaking near 32°C and minimal deviation expected, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for that outcome. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, while current model agreement and absence of heat-wave signals or significant cloud cover limit upside potential to 33°C or higher. Traders are monitoring any final model updates or official station readings for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,847Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and low humidity typical of early Mediterranean autumn. This consensus, with many runs peaking near 32°C and minimal deviation expected, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for that outcome. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, while current model agreement and absence of heat-wave signals or significant cloud cover limit upside potential to 33°C or higher. Traders are monitoring any final model updates or official station readings for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,847Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and low humidity typical of early Mediterranean autumn. This consensus, with many runs peaking near 32°C and minimal deviation expected, underpins the dominant market-implied probability for that outcome. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, while current model agreement and absence of heat-wave signals or significant cloud cover limit upside potential to 33°C or higher. Traders are monitoring any final model updates or official station readings for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions