Forecast models from the Met Office and GFS indicate a high-pressure regime building over the UK by September 1, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions with light westerly winds and limited cloud cover that should allow daytime heating near seasonal norms. This setup produces consensus maximum temperatures of 22–23°C across London, with minor variations arising from exact timing of any residual moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of urban heat effects. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical ensemble uncertainty at a 48-hour lead time, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant deviations from the central guidance. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 1 de setembro?
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
14%
22°C
35%
23°C
35%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
19°C or below
$18 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$88 Vol.
14%
22°C
$535 Vol.
35%
23°C
$4,881 Vol.
35%
24°C
$156 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$65 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and GFS indicate a high-pressure regime building over the UK by September 1, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions with light westerly winds and limited cloud cover that should allow daytime heating near seasonal norms. This setup produces consensus maximum temperatures of 22–23°C across London, with minor variations arising from exact timing of any residual moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of urban heat effects. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical ensemble uncertainty at a 48-hour lead time, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant deviations from the central guidance. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,754Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and GFS indicate a high-pressure regime building over the UK by September 1, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions with light westerly winds and limited cloud cover that should allow daytime heating near seasonal norms. This setup produces consensus maximum temperatures of 22–23°C across London, with minor variations arising from exact timing of any residual moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of urban heat effects. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical ensemble uncertainty at a 48-hour lead time, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant deviations from the central guidance. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,754Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and GFS indicate a high-pressure regime building over the UK by September 1, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions with light westerly winds and limited cloud cover that should allow daytime heating near seasonal norms. This setup produces consensus maximum temperatures of 22–23°C across London, with minor variations arising from exact timing of any residual moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of urban heat effects. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical ensemble uncertainty at a 48-hour lead time, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant deviations from the central guidance. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions