**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.** This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight. Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 1 de setembro?
66-67°F 100%
57°F ou menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,290 Vol.
$1,290 Vol.
1 set 2026
57°F ou menos
Não
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Sim
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76°F ou mais
Não
66-67°F 100%
57°F ou menos <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,290 Vol.
$1,290 Vol.
1 set 2026
57°F ou menos
$106 Vol.
Não
58-59°F
$90 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$19 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$107 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$195 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$71 Vol.
Sim
68-69°F
$39 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$139 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$105 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$309 Vol.
Não
76°F ou mais
$110 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.**
This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight.
Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,290Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.**
This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight.
Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,290Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**The market heavily favors a 66-67°F low (90% implied probability) for downtown Los Angeles or the primary reporting station on September 1, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations of a 62°F minimum downtown and 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport.** This outcome reflects typical early-September marine-layer influence along the Southern California coast, where persistent onshore flow and a stable subtropical high-pressure system limit overnight radiational cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed modest temperature drops after sunset, but the ocean-moderated air mass and urban heat island effects kept the low in the mid-60s rather than dipping toward the 58-65°F buckets that carry smaller probability weight. Normal climatological lows for the date hover near 65°F, and the observed values fell right in line with recent model consensus and short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office, which showed no significant cold-air advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions that would push readings lower. With the event now concluded, trader consensus has consolidated around the realized mid-60s range, consistent with historical analogs and the absence of any extreme meteorological drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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