**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, MetService analogs, and ACCESS-G runs point to a sunny September 24 in Wellington with a daytime high near 12–13°C under northwest winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus, combined with typical spring variability in the region where afternoon maxima often settle in the low teens Celsius, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (53.5%) and 14°C (43.0%). Recent data show stable high-pressure influence and clearing conditions after earlier showers, keeping probabilities for 12°C or lower very low at 4.5%. Traders monitor the next model updates for any northward wind shifts or cloud increases that could cap the peak below 13°C or allow brief warming toward 14°C, as small changes in steering patterns can alter daily maxima by 1–2°C in Wellington's exposed location. Historical September averages hover near 14–15°C, but the immediate forecast alignment favors the lower side of that range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 24 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 24 de setembro?
13°C 54%
14°C 43%
12°C 5%
15°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
8°C ou menos
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
54%
14°C
43%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 54%
14°C 43%
12°C 5%
15°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
8°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
9°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$151 Vol.
5%
13°C
$295 Vol.
54%
14°C
$239 Vol.
43%
15°C
$160 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$190 Vol.
1%
18°C ou mais
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, MetService analogs, and ACCESS-G runs point to a sunny September 24 in Wellington with a daytime high near 12–13°C under northwest winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus, combined with typical spring variability in the region where afternoon maxima often settle in the low teens Celsius, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (53.5%) and 14°C (43.0%). Recent data show stable high-pressure influence and clearing conditions after earlier showers, keeping probabilities for 12°C or lower very low at 4.5%.
Traders monitor the next model updates for any northward wind shifts or cloud increases that could cap the peak below 13°C or allow brief warming toward 14°C, as small changes in steering patterns can alter daily maxima by 1–2°C in Wellington's exposed location. Historical September averages hover near 14–15°C, but the immediate forecast alignment favors the lower side of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,320Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, MetService analogs, and ACCESS-G runs point to a sunny September 24 in Wellington with a daytime high near 12–13°C under northwest winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus, combined with typical spring variability in the region where afternoon maxima often settle in the low teens Celsius, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (53.5%) and 14°C (43.0%). Recent data show stable high-pressure influence and clearing conditions after earlier showers, keeping probabilities for 12°C or lower very low at 4.5%.
Traders monitor the next model updates for any northward wind shifts or cloud increases that could cap the peak below 13°C or allow brief warming toward 14°C, as small changes in steering patterns can alter daily maxima by 1–2°C in Wellington's exposed location. Historical September averages hover near 14–15°C, but the immediate forecast alignment favors the lower side of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,320Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, MetService analogs, and ACCESS-G runs point to a sunny September 24 in Wellington with a daytime high near 12–13°C under northwest winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus, combined with typical spring variability in the region where afternoon maxima often settle in the low teens Celsius, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (53.5%) and 14°C (43.0%). Recent data show stable high-pressure influence and clearing conditions after earlier showers, keeping probabilities for 12°C or lower very low at 4.5%. Traders monitor the next model updates for any northward wind shifts or cloud increases that could cap the peak below 13°C or allow brief warming toward 14°C, as small changes in steering patterns can alter daily maxima by 1–2°C in Wellington's exposed location. Historical September averages hover near 14–15°C, but the immediate forecast alignment favors the lower side of that range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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