Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 26 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 26 de setembro?
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
NOVO
NOVO
26 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
19%
38°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
NOVO
NOVO
26 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$6 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
27%
36°C
$13 Vol.
26%
37°C
$6 Vol.
19%
38°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$174Data de Término
26 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$174Data de Término
26 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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