Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Miami on September 26 indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly drier air behind earlier frontal activity and allowing partial clearing after evening showers. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 72–75°F, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins over the seasonal average low of 76.5°F. Key variables include the exact timing of cloud dissipation and any residual moisture from afternoon convection, which could nudge readings a degree or two. Stronger-than-expected ridging or delayed clearing might push values toward 76–77°F, while an unusually efficient radiational cooling scenario remains the main pathway to sub-70°F outcomes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 26 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 26 de setembro?
65°F ou menos 45%
84°F ou mais 45%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 36%
NOVO
NOVO
26 set 2026
65°F ou menos
45%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
36%
21°C a 22°C
9%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
36%
84°F ou mais
45%
65°F ou menos 45%
84°F ou mais 45%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 36%
NOVO
NOVO
26 set 2026
65°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
45%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
36%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
36%
21°C a 22°C
$40 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
33%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
36%
84°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Miami on September 26 indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly drier air behind earlier frontal activity and allowing partial clearing after evening showers. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 72–75°F, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins over the seasonal average low of 76.5°F. Key variables include the exact timing of cloud dissipation and any residual moisture from afternoon convection, which could nudge readings a degree or two. Stronger-than-expected ridging or delayed clearing might push values toward 76–77°F, while an unusually efficient radiational cooling scenario remains the main pathway to sub-70°F outcomes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$40Data de Término
26 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Miami on September 26 indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly drier air behind earlier frontal activity and allowing partial clearing after evening showers. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 72–75°F, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins over the seasonal average low of 76.5°F. Key variables include the exact timing of cloud dissipation and any residual moisture from afternoon convection, which could nudge readings a degree or two. Stronger-than-expected ridging or delayed clearing might push values toward 76–77°F, while an unusually efficient radiational cooling scenario remains the main pathway to sub-70°F outcomes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data de Término
26 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Miami on September 26 indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by northerly winds advecting slightly drier air behind earlier frontal activity and allowing partial clearing after evening showers. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 72–75°F, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins over the seasonal average low of 76.5°F. Key variables include the exact timing of cloud dissipation and any residual moisture from afternoon convection, which could nudge readings a degree or two. Stronger-than-expected ridging or delayed clearing might push values toward 76–77°F, while an unusually efficient radiational cooling scenario remains the main pathway to sub-70°F outcomes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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