Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for Dallas on September 26, supported by southerly flow, elevated dew points near 65°F, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This pattern stems from a persistent warm ridge and absence of a strong cold front, keeping overnight lows well above the late-September climatological average of 66°F. The near-even market-implied odds between 65°F or below and 84°F or higher reflect trader uncertainty over small shifts in wind direction, cloud timing, or model bias that could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any revised National Weather Service forecasts, will likely tighten consensus around the 72–77°F range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 26 de setembro?
84°F ou mais 98%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
66-67°F 39%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84°F ou mais
98%
84°F ou mais 98%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
66-67°F 39%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84°F ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for Dallas on September 26, supported by southerly flow, elevated dew points near 65°F, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This pattern stems from a persistent warm ridge and absence of a strong cold front, keeping overnight lows well above the late-September climatological average of 66°F. The near-even market-implied odds between 65°F or below and 84°F or higher reflect trader uncertainty over small shifts in wind direction, cloud timing, or model bias that could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any revised National Weather Service forecasts, will likely tighten consensus around the 72–77°F range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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