Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Dallas shows an overnight low of 71–74°F on September 25 under persistent high pressure with light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, placing the daily minimum firmly in the low 70s. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 70–74°F ranges while explaining the near-even split between sub-62°F and 80°F+ outcomes as trader assessment of residual forecast spread in dewpoint advection and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, upcoming afternoon model runs and evening NWS updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 25 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 25 de setembro?
80°F ou mais 98%
61°F ou menos 50%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
61°F ou menos
50%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80°F ou mais
98%
80°F ou mais 98%
61°F ou menos 50%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
61°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
50%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
39%
80°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Dallas shows an overnight low of 71–74°F on September 25 under persistent high pressure with light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, placing the daily minimum firmly in the low 70s. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 70–74°F ranges while explaining the near-even split between sub-62°F and 80°F+ outcomes as trader assessment of residual forecast spread in dewpoint advection and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, upcoming afternoon model runs and evening NWS updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Dallas shows an overnight low of 71–74°F on September 25 under persistent high pressure with light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, placing the daily minimum firmly in the low 70s. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 70–74°F ranges while explaining the near-even split between sub-62°F and 80°F+ outcomes as trader assessment of residual forecast spread in dewpoint advection and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, upcoming afternoon model runs and evening NWS updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Dallas shows an overnight low of 71–74°F on September 25 under persistent high pressure with light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, placing the daily minimum firmly in the low 70s. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 70–74°F ranges while explaining the near-even split between sub-62°F and 80°F+ outcomes as trader assessment of residual forecast spread in dewpoint advection and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, upcoming afternoon model runs and evening NWS updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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