Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional guidance show Guangzhou highs centered on 33–35 °C for 25 September, with the majority clustering near 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and only minimal rain risk. This positioning reflects a typical late-September subtropical high-pressure regime over southern China, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow allow daytime heating to exceed the monthly climatological mean of roughly 31–32 °C. Low precipitation probabilities in the latest updates further support the market’s emphasis on the 34–35 °C outcomes, while any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore winds could cap temperatures nearer 33 °C. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 25 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 25 de setembro?
35°C 41%
34°C 22%
33°C 20%
37°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
20%
34°C
22%
35°C
41%
36°C
19%
37°C
19%
38°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 41%
34°C 22%
33°C 20%
37°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$5 Vol.
20%
34°C
$0 Vol.
22%
35°C
$26 Vol.
41%
36°C
$0 Vol.
19%
37°C
$0 Vol.
19%
38°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional guidance show Guangzhou highs centered on 33–35 °C for 25 September, with the majority clustering near 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and only minimal rain risk. This positioning reflects a typical late-September subtropical high-pressure regime over southern China, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow allow daytime heating to exceed the monthly climatological mean of roughly 31–32 °C. Low precipitation probabilities in the latest updates further support the market’s emphasis on the 34–35 °C outcomes, while any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore winds could cap temperatures nearer 33 °C. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$31Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional guidance show Guangzhou highs centered on 33–35 °C for 25 September, with the majority clustering near 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and only minimal rain risk. This positioning reflects a typical late-September subtropical high-pressure regime over southern China, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow allow daytime heating to exceed the monthly climatological mean of roughly 31–32 °C. Low precipitation probabilities in the latest updates further support the market’s emphasis on the 34–35 °C outcomes, while any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore winds could cap temperatures nearer 33 °C. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional guidance show Guangzhou highs centered on 33–35 °C for 25 September, with the majority clustering near 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and only minimal rain risk. This positioning reflects a typical late-September subtropical high-pressure regime over southern China, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow allow daytime heating to exceed the monthly climatological mean of roughly 31–32 °C. Low precipitation probabilities in the latest updates further support the market’s emphasis on the 34–35 °C outcomes, while any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore winds could cap temperatures nearer 33 °C. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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