Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 25 high will likely peak in the 25–28°C range amid a transitional pattern of decreasing rainfall and variable cloud cover following recent showers. Light winds and moderate humidity limit daytime heating, while breaks in overcast skies could allow brief warming to the upper end of that band, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 27–28°C. Official updates from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and refined ECMWF or GFS runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether lingering morning clouds suppress the maximum or permit a brief spike near 29°C. Historical September averages near 23–26°C provide context for the current slightly above-normal outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 25 de setembro?
25°C 39%
28°C 26%
27°C 25%
29°C 25%
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
22%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 39%
28°C 26%
27°C 25%
29°C 25%
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
22%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 25 high will likely peak in the 25–28°C range amid a transitional pattern of decreasing rainfall and variable cloud cover following recent showers. Light winds and moderate humidity limit daytime heating, while breaks in overcast skies could allow brief warming to the upper end of that band, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 27–28°C. Official updates from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and refined ECMWF or GFS runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether lingering morning clouds suppress the maximum or permit a brief spike near 29°C. Historical September averages near 23–26°C provide context for the current slightly above-normal outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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