Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 25 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, consistent with the ongoing warm, humid pattern and absence of significant frontal passages or tropical moisture. This aligns with recent climatological trends showing elevated minimum temperatures amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Gulf, though model runs retain some spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the actual minimum by a few degrees. Trader positioning, with 86°F or higher as the leading implied outcome at 49%, reflects ongoing uncertainty around potential forecast revisions or localized warming effects ahead of resolution, while the 25% on 67°F or below captures tail risks from any unexpected cooler advection. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Houston em 25 de setembro?
86°F ou mais 98%
67°F ou menos 50%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
67°F ou menos
50%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86°F ou mais
98%
86°F ou mais 98%
67°F ou menos 50%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
67°F ou menos
50%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86°F ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 25 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, consistent with the ongoing warm, humid pattern and absence of significant frontal passages or tropical moisture. This aligns with recent climatological trends showing elevated minimum temperatures amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Gulf, though model runs retain some spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the actual minimum by a few degrees. Trader positioning, with 86°F or higher as the leading implied outcome at 49%, reflects ongoing uncertainty around potential forecast revisions or localized warming effects ahead of resolution, while the 25% on 67°F or below captures tail risks from any unexpected cooler advection. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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