Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by a cooler northerly air mass, increased cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 25°C (54.5% implied probability) and 26°C (22.5%), well below the late-August climatological average high near 31°C. Minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure further support modest warming, though any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Traders appear to price in these near-term conditions ahead of final observations that will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 30 de agosto?
25°C 55%
26°C 23%
24°C 13%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
13%
25°C
55%
26°C
23%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
26°C 23%
24°C 13%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
13%
25°C
55%
26°C
23%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by a cooler northerly air mass, increased cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 25°C (54.5% implied probability) and 26°C (22.5%), well below the late-August climatological average high near 31°C. Minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure further support modest warming, though any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Traders appear to price in these near-term conditions ahead of final observations that will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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