Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds that will advect milder maritime air while limiting radiational cooling. Recent strong northerlies on the 28th have already elevated baseline temperatures, positioning 14–15°C as the most probable range, with 15°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Historical August maxima average around 13–15°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming or rapid cooling. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations, with any late-day model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover able to tip the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 29 de agosto?
15°C 57%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
17°C 5%
NOVO
$19,491 Vol.
NOVO
$19,491 Vol.
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
22%
15°C
57%
16°C
20%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 57%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
17°C 5%
NOVO
$19,491 Vol.
NOVO
$19,491 Vol.
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
$212 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,945 Vol.
22%
15°C
$3,747 Vol.
57%
16°C
$3,087 Vol.
20%
17°C
$2,388 Vol.
5%
18°C
$2,273 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds that will advect milder maritime air while limiting radiational cooling. Recent strong northerlies on the 28th have already elevated baseline temperatures, positioning 14–15°C as the most probable range, with 15°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Historical August maxima average around 13–15°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming or rapid cooling. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations, with any late-day model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover able to tip the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,491Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds that will advect milder maritime air while limiting radiational cooling. Recent strong northerlies on the 28th have already elevated baseline temperatures, positioning 14–15°C as the most probable range, with 15°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Historical August maxima average around 13–15°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming or rapid cooling. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations, with any late-day model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover able to tip the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,491Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 14°C for Wellington on August 29 under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds that will advect milder maritime air while limiting radiational cooling. Recent strong northerlies on the 28th have already elevated baseline temperatures, positioning 14–15°C as the most probable range, with 15°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Historical August maxima average around 13–15°C, and current guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming or rapid cooling. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations, with any late-day model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover able to tip the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions