Recent forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City’s overnight low for August 29 in the 12–14 °C range, supporting the near-even trader weighting across 12–15 °C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the regional monsoon pattern limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, while light northeasterly winds advect slightly cooler air into the basin. Historical climatology shows typical August minima near 13–14 °C, yet model spread in the timing of any late-night clearing creates the observed dispersion between 12 °C and 15 °C. Updated National Meteorological Service observations through early morning will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 29 de agosto?
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
9°C ou menos
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
23%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
12%
19°C ou mais
6%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
9°C ou menos
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
23%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
12%
19°C ou mais
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City’s overnight low for August 29 in the 12–14 °C range, supporting the near-even trader weighting across 12–15 °C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the regional monsoon pattern limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, while light northeasterly winds advect slightly cooler air into the basin. Historical climatology shows typical August minima near 13–14 °C, yet model spread in the timing of any late-night clearing creates the observed dispersion between 12 °C and 15 °C. Updated National Meteorological Service observations through early morning will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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