Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate Toronto’s minimum temperature on August 30 will likely occur overnight or early morning amid persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers, supporting trader focus on the narrow 18–20°C range. Southerly to southwesterly flow advects milder, humid air while extensive low- and mid-level clouds suppress radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from falling as sharply as under clear skies. Historical late-August averages near 16–17°C provide context, yet the current pattern—warmer than normal with elevated dew points—shifts the distribution upward. Minor model disagreements on shower timing and wind strength introduce the observed spread, with new official guidance and updated runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Toronto no dia 30 de agosto?
20°C 35%
19°C 34%
18°C 26%
17°C 25%
14°C ou menos
10%
15°C
12%
16°C
9%
17°C
25%
18°C
26%
19°C
34%
20°C
35%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C ou mais
14%
20°C 35%
19°C 34%
18°C 26%
17°C 25%
14°C ou menos
10%
15°C
12%
16°C
9%
17°C
25%
18°C
26%
19°C
34%
20°C
35%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C ou mais
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate Toronto’s minimum temperature on August 30 will likely occur overnight or early morning amid persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers, supporting trader focus on the narrow 18–20°C range. Southerly to southwesterly flow advects milder, humid air while extensive low- and mid-level clouds suppress radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from falling as sharply as under clear skies. Historical late-August averages near 16–17°C provide context, yet the current pattern—warmer than normal with elevated dew points—shifts the distribution upward. Minor model disagreements on shower timing and wind strength introduce the observed spread, with new official guidance and updated runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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