Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a maximum of 16°C under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds, consistent with late-winter patterns where strong NW flow can produce modest föhn warming on the lee side of the ranges. Recent model runs show limited variability, though slight upward revisions in some guidance reflect warmer air advection and clear skies. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of potential for temperatures to edge above the central forecast amid variable wind gusts and measurement at the official site. Historical August daily highs average near 14–16°C, with 17–18°C occurring in warmer outliers during similar synoptic setups. Updated MetService guidance and any late model shifts will be the key near-term drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 30 de agosto?
17°C 54%
18°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 4%
$10,847 Vol.
$10,847 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
17%
17°C
54%
18°C
28%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 4%
$10,847 Vol.
$10,847 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
17%
17°C
54%
18°C
28%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a maximum of 16°C under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds, consistent with late-winter patterns where strong NW flow can produce modest föhn warming on the lee side of the ranges. Recent model runs show limited variability, though slight upward revisions in some guidance reflect warmer air advection and clear skies. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of potential for temperatures to edge above the central forecast amid variable wind gusts and measurement at the official site. Historical August daily highs average near 14–16°C, with 17–18°C occurring in warmer outliers during similar synoptic setups. Updated MetService guidance and any late model shifts will be the key near-term drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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