Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to an overnight low in Buenos Aires near 8–10 °C on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong radiative cooling under a stable subtropical high. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 6 °C-or-below, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover or dew-point depression could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, while warmer scenarios remain less likely given the absence of significant warm-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows of 8–12 °C, placing current guidance near the cooler end of the distribution and keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 30 de agosto?
7°C 45%
9°C 41%
8°C 40%
12°C 36%
6°C ou menos
44%
7°C
45%
8°C
40%
9°C
41%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C ou mais
7%
7°C 45%
9°C 41%
8°C 40%
12°C 36%
6°C ou menos
44%
7°C
45%
8°C
40%
9°C
41%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C ou mais
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to an overnight low in Buenos Aires near 8–10 °C on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong radiative cooling under a stable subtropical high. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 6 °C-or-below, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover or dew-point depression could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, while warmer scenarios remain less likely given the absence of significant warm-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows of 8–12 °C, placing current guidance near the cooler end of the distribution and keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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