Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show broad consensus for mostly sunny conditions and a daily maximum near 28–29°C across Istanbul on August 31, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and high pressure suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach 27–29°C under similar synoptic patterns, following scattered showers earlier in the week that moderated temperatures. With the date only two days away, observational data from regional stations and updated model guidance will dominate trader assessments of any last-minute adjustments to the peak reading. Low uncertainty in steering patterns and minimal tropical moisture advection support stable expectations ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 31 de agosto?
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
23°C or below 7%
24°C 7%
23°C or below
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
23°C or below 7%
24°C 7%
23°C or below
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show broad consensus for mostly sunny conditions and a daily maximum near 28–29°C across Istanbul on August 31, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and high pressure suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach 27–29°C under similar synoptic patterns, following scattered showers earlier in the week that moderated temperatures. With the date only two days away, observational data from regional stations and updated model guidance will dominate trader assessments of any last-minute adjustments to the peak reading. Low uncertainty in steering patterns and minimal tropical moisture advection support stable expectations ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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