Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF guidance, and regional services show Istanbul's August 30 peak temperatures likely reaching 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, with northerly to northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating after cooler, showery weather on the 28th–29th. This aligns with late-August climatology (historical daily highs near 27–28°C) while accounting for current lower-tropospheric cooling and modest humidity. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C (46.5% implied probability) and 27°C (33%) reflects model agreement on a modest warm-up from recent values near 25°C, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential local variations across urban stations. New high-resolution runs and official observations on the 30th will refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 30 de agosto?
26°C 47%
27°C 33%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
47%
27°C
33%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 47%
27°C 33%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$40 Vol.
7%
25°C
$48 Vol.
13%
26°C
$44 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$24 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$18 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF guidance, and regional services show Istanbul's August 30 peak temperatures likely reaching 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, with northerly to northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating after cooler, showery weather on the 28th–29th. This aligns with late-August climatology (historical daily highs near 27–28°C) while accounting for current lower-tropospheric cooling and modest humidity. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C (46.5% implied probability) and 27°C (33%) reflects model agreement on a modest warm-up from recent values near 25°C, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential local variations across urban stations. New high-resolution runs and official observations on the 30th will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$174Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF guidance, and regional services show Istanbul's August 30 peak temperatures likely reaching 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, with northerly to northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating after cooler, showery weather on the 28th–29th. This aligns with late-August climatology (historical daily highs near 27–28°C) while accounting for current lower-tropospheric cooling and modest humidity. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C (46.5% implied probability) and 27°C (33%) reflects model agreement on a modest warm-up from recent values near 25°C, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential local variations across urban stations. New high-resolution runs and official observations on the 30th will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$174Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF guidance, and regional services show Istanbul's August 30 peak temperatures likely reaching 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, with northerly to northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating after cooler, showery weather on the 28th–29th. This aligns with late-August climatology (historical daily highs near 27–28°C) while accounting for current lower-tropospheric cooling and modest humidity. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C (46.5% implied probability) and 27°C (33%) reflects model agreement on a modest warm-up from recent values near 25°C, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential local variations across urban stations. New high-resolution runs and official observations on the 30th will refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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