Forecast models from NOAA, Météo-France, and European ensembles converge on a southwesterly flow and scattered showers or thunderstorms for Paris on 28 August, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum near 22–24 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.2 °C. This pattern, driven by an approaching Atlantic trough, introduces uncertainty around cloud cover timing and any brief clear spells that could push readings a degree or two higher. The near-even market-implied odds between 26 °C or above and 16 °C or below reflect trader weighting of this variability in the final 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France observed peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris em 28 de agosto?
26°C or higher 75%
23°C 32%
22°C 30%
24°C 27%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
30%
23°C
32%
24°C
27%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
75%
26°C or higher 75%
23°C 32%
22°C 30%
24°C 27%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
30%
23°C
32%
24°C
27%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA, Météo-France, and European ensembles converge on a southwesterly flow and scattered showers or thunderstorms for Paris on 28 August, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum near 22–24 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.2 °C. This pattern, driven by an approaching Atlantic trough, introduces uncertainty around cloud cover timing and any brief clear spells that could push readings a degree or two higher. The near-even market-implied odds between 26 °C or above and 16 °C or below reflect trader weighting of this variability in the final 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France observed peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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