Forecast models from the UK Met Office and other agencies show London’s maximum temperature on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and light showers as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Easterly winds shifting southerly will raise humidity while limiting solar heating, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the hotter spells seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, with small variations in timing or intensity of showers able to tip the daily high between 25°C and 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, producing tightly matched implied probabilities for the top outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres em 26 de agosto?
25°C 34%
26°C 33%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 33%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the UK Met Office and other agencies show London’s maximum temperature on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and light showers as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Easterly winds shifting southerly will raise humidity while limiting solar heating, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the hotter spells seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, with small variations in timing or intensity of showers able to tip the daily high between 25°C and 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, producing tightly matched implied probabilities for the top outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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