Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 25 de agosto?
27°C 40%
31°C 33%
30°C 30%
28°C 29%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
23%
30°C
30%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
7%
27°C 40%
31°C 33%
30°C 30%
28°C 29%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
19%
27°C
$5 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$20 Vol.
23%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$62Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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