Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on August 23, with a 30-50% chance of scattered showers and highs modeled near 31-34°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity—typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon influences—limit surface heating and promote modest cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects from any rainfall. Steering winds and regional pressure gradients remain the key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two, while climatological baselines show average August highs of 30.7°C. Updated JMA and ensemble model runs in the next 24-48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 23 de agosto?
30°C 34%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
34%
31°C
32%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
$102 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
1%
27°C
$19 Vol.
2%
28°C
$17 Vol.
4%
29°C
$464 Vol.
14%
30°C
$431 Vol.
34%
31°C
$688 Vol.
32%
32°C
$353 Vol.
7%
33°C
$107 Vol.
3%
34°C
$15 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on August 23, with a 30-50% chance of scattered showers and highs modeled near 31-34°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity—typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon influences—limit surface heating and promote modest cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects from any rainfall. Steering winds and regional pressure gradients remain the key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two, while climatological baselines show average August highs of 30.7°C. Updated JMA and ensemble model runs in the next 24-48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,490Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on August 23, with a 30-50% chance of scattered showers and highs modeled near 31-34°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity—typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon influences—limit surface heating and promote modest cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects from any rainfall. Steering winds and regional pressure gradients remain the key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two, while climatological baselines show average August highs of 30.7°C. Updated JMA and ensemble model runs in the next 24-48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,490Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on August 23, with a 30-50% chance of scattered showers and highs modeled near 31-34°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity—typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon influences—limit surface heating and promote modest cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects from any rainfall. Steering winds and regional pressure gradients remain the key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two, while climatological baselines show average August highs of 30.7°C. Updated JMA and ensemble model runs in the next 24-48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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