Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum of 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic, suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51% implied probability for 20°C and 32.5% for 19°C, reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer climatology where highs average 20–22°C amid decreasing solar insolation and frequent cloud cover. Earlier August warmth has given way to stabilization, with no strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection to push temperatures above 21°C, which carries just 12.5% odds. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 23 de agosto?
20°C 51%
19°C 32%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
32%
20°C
51%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 32%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
3%
18°C
$30 Vol.
7%
19°C
$40 Vol.
32%
20°C
$71 Vol.
51%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C ou mais
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum of 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic, suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51% implied probability for 20°C and 32.5% for 19°C, reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer climatology where highs average 20–22°C amid decreasing solar insolation and frequent cloud cover. Earlier August warmth has given way to stabilization, with no strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection to push temperatures above 21°C, which carries just 12.5% odds. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$296Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum of 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic, suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51% implied probability for 20°C and 32.5% for 19°C, reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer climatology where highs average 20–22°C amid decreasing solar insolation and frequent cloud cover. Earlier August warmth has given way to stabilization, with no strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection to push temperatures above 21°C, which carries just 12.5% odds. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$296Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum of 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic, suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51% implied probability for 20°C and 32.5% for 19°C, reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer climatology where highs average 20–22°C amid decreasing solar insolation and frequent cloud cover. Earlier August warmth has given way to stabilization, with no strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection to push temperatures above 21°C, which carries just 12.5% odds. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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