Skip to main content
icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?

Ended: ago 21

ago 31

set 1

set 2

Ended: ago 21

ago 31

set 1

set 2

25°C 100.0%

22°C ou menos <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,008 Vol.

25°C 100.0%

22°C ou menos <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,008 Vol.

22°C ou menos

$1,937 Vol.

Não

23°C

$3,851 Vol.

Não

24°C

$8,115 Vol.

Não

25°C

$11,101 Vol.

Sim

26°C

$6,170 Vol.

Não

27°C

$6,111 Vol.

Não

28°C

$6,188 Vol.

Não

29°C

$2,853 Vol.

Não

30°C

$2,170 Vol.

Não

31°C

$1,977 Vol.

Não

32°C ou mais

$1,536 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,008
Data de Término
21 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,008
Data de Término
21 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Relacionado

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?

94%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

39%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

44%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 100%, followed by "22°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?" has generated $52K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?" is "25°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.