Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 31 project a minimum near 26°C within a 26–30°C range, driven by a persistent broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that sustains mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms. These conditions, combined with a shift to easterly or northeasterly winds of force 3–5, limit radiative cooling overnight and keep dew points elevated near 25–26°C. Historical August minima average 26.7°C, and the developing El Niño backdrop favors normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet the short-term instability supports trader consensus around 25–27°C as the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine any adjustments from evolving convection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 31 de agosto?
26°C 37%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
28°C 21%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
19%
24°C
15%
25°C
23%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
13%
26°C 37%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
28°C 21%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
19%
24°C
15%
25°C
23%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 31 project a minimum near 26°C within a 26–30°C range, driven by a persistent broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that sustains mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms. These conditions, combined with a shift to easterly or northeasterly winds of force 3–5, limit radiative cooling overnight and keep dew points elevated near 25–26°C. Historical August minima average 26.7°C, and the developing El Niño backdrop favors normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet the short-term instability supports trader consensus around 25–27°C as the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine any adjustments from evolving convection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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