**Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 28°C as the most probable daily minimum on August 29, 2026.** A broad trough of low pressure is sustaining unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 32–33°C. Current observations and model consensus indicate overnight lows holding near 27–28°C, consistent with late-August climatology where minima typically range 26–27°C but elevated moisture and weak winds support slightly higher values. Traders assign over 80% implied probability to 28°C, reflecting alignment between HKO guidance, regional model runs, and real-time station data showing no rapid cooling. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast bulletins could shift odds if showers intensify or winds strengthen.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 29 de agosto?
28°C 88%
27°C 10%
26°C 9%
25°C <1%
$13,756 Vol.
$13,756 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
80%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 88%
27°C 10%
26°C 9%
25°C <1%
$13,756 Vol.
$13,756 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$268 Vol.
1%
23°C
$204 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$935 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,763 Vol.
9%
27°C
$829 Vol.
10%
28°C
$4,874 Vol.
80%
29°C
$3,016 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 28°C as the most probable daily minimum on August 29, 2026.** A broad trough of low pressure is sustaining unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 32–33°C. Current observations and model consensus indicate overnight lows holding near 27–28°C, consistent with late-August climatology where minima typically range 26–27°C but elevated moisture and weak winds support slightly higher values. Traders assign over 80% implied probability to 28°C, reflecting alignment between HKO guidance, regional model runs, and real-time station data showing no rapid cooling. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast bulletins could shift odds if showers intensify or winds strengthen.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,756Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 28°C as the most probable daily minimum on August 29, 2026.** A broad trough of low pressure is sustaining unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 32–33°C. Current observations and model consensus indicate overnight lows holding near 27–28°C, consistent with late-August climatology where minima typically range 26–27°C but elevated moisture and weak winds support slightly higher values. Traders assign over 80% implied probability to 28°C, reflecting alignment between HKO guidance, regional model runs, and real-time station data showing no rapid cooling. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast bulletins could shift odds if showers intensify or winds strengthen.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,756Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 28°C as the most probable daily minimum on August 29, 2026.** A broad trough of low pressure is sustaining unsettled, humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 32–33°C. Current observations and model consensus indicate overnight lows holding near 27–28°C, consistent with late-August climatology where minima typically range 26–27°C but elevated moisture and weak winds support slightly higher values. Traders assign over 80% implied probability to 28°C, reflecting alignment between HKO guidance, regional model runs, and real-time station data showing no rapid cooling. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast bulletins could shift odds if showers intensify or winds strengthen.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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