Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea have kept Hong Kong's overnight radiative cooling limited, with high humidity (75-95%) trapping warmth and supporting a minimum near 27°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently cite a 27-31°C range, while some numerical models allow for localized dips to 26°C amid variable shower timing. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 41% over 27°C at 27%, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if rain tapers earlier than expected. Final resolution hinges on the official minimum at primary stations, with remaining hours today determining whether humidity or any late clearing tips the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 30 de agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 15%
25°C 6%
$10,891 Vol.
$10,891 Vol.
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
41%
27°C
27%
28°C
32%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 15%
25°C 6%
$10,891 Vol.
$10,891 Vol.
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$219 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$659 Vol.
1%
24°C
$987 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,137 Vol.
6%
26°C
$1,139 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,317 Vol.
27%
28°C
$2,301 Vol.
32%
29°C
$2,538 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea have kept Hong Kong's overnight radiative cooling limited, with high humidity (75-95%) trapping warmth and supporting a minimum near 27°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently cite a 27-31°C range, while some numerical models allow for localized dips to 26°C amid variable shower timing. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 41% over 27°C at 27%, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if rain tapers earlier than expected. Final resolution hinges on the official minimum at primary stations, with remaining hours today determining whether humidity or any late clearing tips the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,891Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea have kept Hong Kong's overnight radiative cooling limited, with high humidity (75-95%) trapping warmth and supporting a minimum near 27°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently cite a 27-31°C range, while some numerical models allow for localized dips to 26°C amid variable shower timing. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 41% over 27°C at 27%, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if rain tapers earlier than expected. Final resolution hinges on the official minimum at primary stations, with remaining hours today determining whether humidity or any late clearing tips the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,891Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea have kept Hong Kong's overnight radiative cooling limited, with high humidity (75-95%) trapping warmth and supporting a minimum near 27°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts consistently cite a 27-31°C range, while some numerical models allow for localized dips to 26°C amid variable shower timing. Market-implied odds favor 26°C at 41% over 27°C at 27%, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if rain tapers earlier than expected. Final resolution hinges on the official minimum at primary stations, with remaining hours today determining whether humidity or any late clearing tips the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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