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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?

28°C 87%

27°C 7%

26°C 4%

24°C <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

$14,464 Vol.

28°C 87%

27°C 7%

26°C 4%

24°C <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

$14,464 Vol.

22°C or below

$273 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$397 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$734 Vol.

1%

25°C

$971 Vol.

1%

26°C

$2,389 Vol.

4%

27°C

$1,235 Vol.

7%

28°C

$3,765 Vol.

87%

29°C

$3,644 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$290 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$377 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$388 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models project an overnight low near 28°C on August 28, 2026, with a range of 27–28°C most likely.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–95%), and southwest monsoon flow limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Recent observations show nighttime readings holding at 27–28°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a regional low-pressure trough. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C, while the modest probability for 27°C reflects minor model spread in how much cooling occurs under variable rain. No significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push readings lower.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,464
Data de Término
28 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models project an overnight low near 28°C on August 28, 2026, with a range of 27–28°C most likely.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–95%), and southwest monsoon flow limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Recent observations show nighttime readings holding at 27–28°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a regional low-pressure trough. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C, while the modest probability for 27°C reflects minor model spread in how much cooling occurs under variable rain. No significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push readings lower.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,464
Data de Término
28 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 87%, followed by "27°C" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?" has generated $14.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?" is "28°C" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.