**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models project an overnight low near 28°C on August 28, 2026, with a range of 27–28°C most likely.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–95%), and southwest monsoon flow limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Recent observations show nighttime readings holding at 27–28°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a regional low-pressure trough. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C, while the modest probability for 27°C reflects minor model spread in how much cooling occurs under variable rain. No significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push readings lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 28 de agosto?
28°C 87%
27°C 7%
26°C 4%
24°C <1%
$14,464 Vol.
$14,464 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
87%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 87%
27°C 7%
26°C 4%
24°C <1%
$14,464 Vol.
$14,464 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
87%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models project an overnight low near 28°C on August 28, 2026, with a range of 27–28°C most likely.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–95%), and southwest monsoon flow limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Recent observations show nighttime readings holding at 27–28°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a regional low-pressure trough. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C, while the modest probability for 27°C reflects minor model spread in how much cooling occurs under variable rain. No significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push readings lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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