Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Saturday overnight low in Chicago near 66–70°F, with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers after midnight limiting radiational cooling. This setup favors the 64–65°F bucket currently holding the highest market-implied probability, while the near-even odds on much colder or warmer extremes reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and shower coverage. Southerly winds around 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 50s should keep the minimum above typical late-August climatology unless clearer skies develop earlier than forecast. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 29 de agosto?
55°F or below 67%
74°F or higher 67%
58-59°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
55°F or below
67%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
67%
55°F or below 67%
74°F or higher 67%
58-59°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
67%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
23%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
49%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
22%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Saturday overnight low in Chicago near 66–70°F, with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers after midnight limiting radiational cooling. This setup favors the 64–65°F bucket currently holding the highest market-implied probability, while the near-even odds on much colder or warmer extremes reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and shower coverage. Southerly winds around 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 50s should keep the minimum above typical late-August climatology unless clearer skies develop earlier than forecast. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Saturday overnight low in Chicago near 66–70°F, with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers after midnight limiting radiational cooling. This setup favors the 64–65°F bucket currently holding the highest market-implied probability, while the near-even odds on much colder or warmer extremes reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and shower coverage. Southerly winds around 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 50s should keep the minimum above typical late-August climatology unless clearer skies develop earlier than forecast. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a Saturday overnight low in Chicago near 66–70°F, with southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30–40% chance of showers after midnight limiting radiational cooling. This setup favors the 64–65°F bucket currently holding the highest market-implied probability, while the near-even odds on much colder or warmer extremes reflect lingering uncertainty in exact cloud timing and shower coverage. Southerly winds around 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 50s should keep the minimum above typical late-August climatology unless clearer skies develop earlier than forecast. Updated NWS guidance and overnight model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions