**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on mid-60s to mid-70s°F outcomes because current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 70–72°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate onshore southwest flow.** Recent extreme heat across Southern California has begun easing as a stronger marine layer and Pacific high-pressure ridge promote cooler advection from the ocean, moderating radiative cooling overnight. This setup typically keeps coastal basin minima in the upper 60s to low 70s during late August, aligning with climatological averages around 65°F but elevated by residual warmth and light winds that limit deeper cooling. The tight clustering of probabilities (roughly 25–26.5% across the 66–75°F bins) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer details: variations in marine-layer depth, stratus timing, and local wind patterns can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Clearer, calmer conditions favor the lower-70s bins through enhanced radiative cooling, while increased low-level moisture or breezes support the mid- to upper-60s. Extreme outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong offshore flow or anomalous cold-air intrusions this time of year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 29 de agosto?
65°F ou menos 50%
80-81°F 49%
82-83°F 44%
72-73°F 27%
65°F ou menos
50%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
21-22°C
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
44%
84°F ou mais
1%
65°F ou menos 50%
80-81°F 49%
82-83°F 44%
72-73°F 27%
65°F ou menos
50%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
21-22°C
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
44%
84°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on mid-60s to mid-70s°F outcomes because current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 70–72°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate onshore southwest flow.** Recent extreme heat across Southern California has begun easing as a stronger marine layer and Pacific high-pressure ridge promote cooler advection from the ocean, moderating radiative cooling overnight. This setup typically keeps coastal basin minima in the upper 60s to low 70s during late August, aligning with climatological averages around 65°F but elevated by residual warmth and light winds that limit deeper cooling. The tight clustering of probabilities (roughly 25–26.5% across the 66–75°F bins) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer details: variations in marine-layer depth, stratus timing, and local wind patterns can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Clearer, calmer conditions favor the lower-70s bins through enhanced radiative cooling, while increased low-level moisture or breezes support the mid- to upper-60s. Extreme outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong offshore flow or anomalous cold-air intrusions this time of year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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