Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows Beijing transitioning to clear skies and light northwest winds by August 30, following Friday's rain, supporting strong daytime insolation and surface heating under low humidity. This setup favors a peak near 32–33°C, aligning with market-implied odds where those two outcomes together exceed 65%. Minor divergences in forecast timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C, while historical late-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the role of the current high-pressure ridge in elevating temperatures above climatology. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 30 de agosto?
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
9%
32°C
28%
33°C
42%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$35 Vol.
6%
31°C
$33 Vol.
9%
32°C
$9 Vol.
28%
33°C
$178 Vol.
42%
34°C
$17 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows Beijing transitioning to clear skies and light northwest winds by August 30, following Friday's rain, supporting strong daytime insolation and surface heating under low humidity. This setup favors a peak near 32–33°C, aligning with market-implied odds where those two outcomes together exceed 65%. Minor divergences in forecast timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C, while historical late-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the role of the current high-pressure ridge in elevating temperatures above climatology. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$376Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows Beijing transitioning to clear skies and light northwest winds by August 30, following Friday's rain, supporting strong daytime insolation and surface heating under low humidity. This setup favors a peak near 32–33°C, aligning with market-implied odds where those two outcomes together exceed 65%. Minor divergences in forecast timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C, while historical late-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the role of the current high-pressure ridge in elevating temperatures above climatology. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$376Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows Beijing transitioning to clear skies and light northwest winds by August 30, following Friday's rain, supporting strong daytime insolation and surface heating under low humidity. This setup favors a peak near 32–33°C, aligning with market-implied odds where those two outcomes together exceed 65%. Minor divergences in forecast timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C, while historical late-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the role of the current high-pressure ridge in elevating temperatures above climatology. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will further constrain the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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