Trader sentiment favors a highest temperature of 72–73°F (32.5% implied probability) on August 27, driven by the persistent marine layer over the cold California Current and typical August upwelling that caps coastal warming near 70°F despite modest high-pressure influence. Forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show partly cloudy conditions with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s, as westerly winds and a temperature inversion limit inland heat advection into the city. The spread across 70–75°F outcomes reflects microclimate variability—warmer pockets east of Twin Peaks versus cooler Sunset districts—and uncertainty in exact inversion height or fog burn-off timing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Stronger marine push or increased cloud cover could favor the 70–71°F bin, while clearer skies and lighter winds support the 74–75°F range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 27 de agosto?
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
21-22°C 20%
65°F ou menos
1%
66-67°F
3%
20°C - 21°C
1%
21-22°C
20%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84°F ou mais
<1%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
21-22°C 20%
65°F ou menos
1%
66-67°F
3%
20°C - 21°C
1%
21-22°C
20%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a highest temperature of 72–73°F (32.5% implied probability) on August 27, driven by the persistent marine layer over the cold California Current and typical August upwelling that caps coastal warming near 70°F despite modest high-pressure influence. Forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show partly cloudy conditions with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s, as westerly winds and a temperature inversion limit inland heat advection into the city. The spread across 70–75°F outcomes reflects microclimate variability—warmer pockets east of Twin Peaks versus cooler Sunset districts—and uncertainty in exact inversion height or fog burn-off timing, which can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Stronger marine push or increased cloud cover could favor the 70–71°F bin, while clearer skies and lighter winds support the 74–75°F range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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