Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models indicates persistent cloud cover, thundershowers, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 26, limiting solar heating and convective buildup compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with late-August climatology of subtropical monsoon influence, where average highs reach 32–33 °C but precipitation often caps peaks near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C because model runs show modest uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, with only small probabilities assigned to drier, hotter scenarios above 33 °C or cooler outcomes below 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from regional agencies will refine these short-term variables before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 26 de agosto?
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 20%
30°C 16%
25°C ou menos
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C ou mais
4%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 20%
30°C 16%
25°C ou menos
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models indicates persistent cloud cover, thundershowers, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 26, limiting solar heating and convective buildup compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with late-August climatology of subtropical monsoon influence, where average highs reach 32–33 °C but precipitation often caps peaks near 30–31 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C because model runs show modest uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, with only small probabilities assigned to drier, hotter scenarios above 33 °C or cooler outcomes below 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from regional agencies will refine these short-term variables before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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