Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32 °C for Karachi on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 15–35 km/h, and high humidity but minimal precipitation as the monsoon season wanes. This consensus underpins the market’s strong 49 % implied probability on 32 °C and secondary support for 31 °C and 33 °C. Recent observations show daily highs near or slightly below the August climatological average of 33 °C, with no major synoptic systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are therefore weighting the near-term model agreement heavily while acknowledging the typical 1–2 °C uncertainty range in short-range temperature predictions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 26 de agosto?
32°C 49%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
30°C 16.6%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
21%
32°C
49%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C ou mais
1%
32°C 49%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
30°C 16.6%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
21%
32°C
49%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32 °C for Karachi on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 15–35 km/h, and high humidity but minimal precipitation as the monsoon season wanes. This consensus underpins the market’s strong 49 % implied probability on 32 °C and secondary support for 31 °C and 33 °C. Recent observations show daily highs near or slightly below the August climatological average of 33 °C, with no major synoptic systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are therefore weighting the near-term model agreement heavily while acknowledging the typical 1–2 °C uncertainty range in short-range temperature predictions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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