Trader sentiment for Qingdao's August 26 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 32–33°C, reflecting persistent late-summer coastal conditions with southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. The Yellow Sea's sea breezes frequently moderate readings at official stations, while any clearing or reduced onshore wind could allow brief spikes toward 34°C or higher; conversely, increased cloudiness or showers would favor 31°C or below. Recent forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering near 29–32°C highs, consistent with August climatology of ~30°C averages. Short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns sustains the spread across outcomes, with fresh model runs and satellite data likely to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 26 de agosto?
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 13%
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
35%
34°C
21%
35°C ou mais
6%
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 13%
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
35%
34°C
21%
35°C ou mais
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Qingdao's August 26 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 32–33°C, reflecting persistent late-summer coastal conditions with southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. The Yellow Sea's sea breezes frequently moderate readings at official stations, while any clearing or reduced onshore wind could allow brief spikes toward 34°C or higher; conversely, increased cloudiness or showers would favor 31°C or below. Recent forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering near 29–32°C highs, consistent with August climatology of ~30°C averages. Short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns sustains the spread across outcomes, with fresh model runs and satellite data likely to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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