Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Paris on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and limited insolation. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6°C yet well below mid-August peaks recorded earlier in 2026. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because model spread remains modest, with differences driven mainly by the precise timing of cloud breaks or light showers rather than large-scale advection. Continued monitoring of updated runs and Météo-France nowcasts will narrow residual uncertainty before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de agosto?
26°C 38%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
28°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
38%
27°C
29%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
4%
26°C 38%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
28°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$79 Vol.
18%
26°C
$19 Vol.
38%
27°C
$52 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$55 Vol.
2%
31°C
$65 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Paris on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and limited insolation. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6°C yet well below mid-August peaks recorded earlier in 2026. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because model spread remains modest, with differences driven mainly by the precise timing of cloud breaks or light showers rather than large-scale advection. Continued monitoring of updated runs and Météo-France nowcasts will narrow residual uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$281Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Paris on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and limited insolation. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6°C yet well below mid-August peaks recorded earlier in 2026. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because model spread remains modest, with differences driven mainly by the precise timing of cloud breaks or light showers rather than large-scale advection. Continued monitoring of updated runs and Météo-France nowcasts will narrow residual uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$281Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Paris on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and limited insolation. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6°C yet well below mid-August peaks recorded earlier in 2026. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because model spread remains modest, with differences driven mainly by the precise timing of cloud breaks or light showers rather than large-scale advection. Continued monitoring of updated runs and Météo-France nowcasts will narrow residual uncertainty before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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