Current forecasts from ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over Cape Town on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and moderate diurnal heating that supports a daily maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 34% and 21.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. A persistent dry spell across the winter rainfall region, influenced by broader atmospheric patterns including El Niño conditions, has produced unseasonably mild temperatures recently, with the prior day reaching 17°C. Key variables include exact ridge strength, cloud cover, and wind patterns, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 26 de agosto?
25°C 35%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
23°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
35%
26°C
19%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C ou mais
2%
25°C 35%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
23°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$42 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$18 Vol.
10%
29°C
$40 Vol.
4%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over Cape Town on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and moderate diurnal heating that supports a daily maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 34% and 21.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. A persistent dry spell across the winter rainfall region, influenced by broader atmospheric patterns including El Niño conditions, has produced unseasonably mild temperatures recently, with the prior day reaching 17°C. Key variables include exact ridge strength, cloud cover, and wind patterns, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$110Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over Cape Town on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and moderate diurnal heating that supports a daily maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 34% and 21.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. A persistent dry spell across the winter rainfall region, influenced by broader atmospheric patterns including El Niño conditions, has produced unseasonably mild temperatures recently, with the prior day reaching 17°C. Key variables include exact ridge strength, cloud cover, and wind patterns, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over Cape Town on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and moderate diurnal heating that supports a daily maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 34% and 21.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. A persistent dry spell across the winter rainfall region, influenced by broader atmospheric patterns including El Niño conditions, has produced unseasonably mild temperatures recently, with the prior day reaching 17°C. Key variables include exact ridge strength, cloud cover, and wind patterns, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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