Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 29 likely between 21–24°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and afternoon thunderstorms typical of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico. These conditions reduce solar heating and cap daytime peaks near the historical average high of ~23°C for late August. Official guidance estimating maxima of 24–26°C, alongside observed trends of persistent moisture and convection, supports the market's concentration on 22–24°C outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against variability in storm timing and intensity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 29 de agosto?
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
24°C 18%
21°C 11%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
24°C 18%
21°C 11%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 29 likely between 21–24°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and afternoon thunderstorms typical of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico. These conditions reduce solar heating and cap daytime peaks near the historical average high of ~23°C for late August. Official guidance estimating maxima of 24–26°C, alongside observed trends of persistent moisture and convection, supports the market's concentration on 22–24°C outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against variability in storm timing and intensity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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