Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services converge on a daytime high of 24–25 °C for Mexico City on 28 August, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, widespread cloud cover, and frequent convective showers typical of the late-summer rainy season. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit afternoon maxima, consistent with climatological normals of roughly 23–25 °C. Model consensus and current observations of persistent moisture and light winds underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C (51 % implied probability), with secondary support for 24 °C and 26 °C reflecting minor spread in guidance. No heat-wave signals or clearing trends have emerged in the latest runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 28 de agosto?
25°C 51%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
23°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
22%
25°C
51%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 51%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
23°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
19°C ou menos
$188 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$142 Vol.
1%
22°C
$270 Vol.
3%
23°C
$285 Vol.
5%
24°C
$428 Vol.
22%
25°C
$1,686 Vol.
51%
26°C
$587 Vol.
21%
27°C
$224 Vol.
3%
28°C
$36 Vol.
1%
29°C ou mais
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services converge on a daytime high of 24–25 °C for Mexico City on 28 August, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, widespread cloud cover, and frequent convective showers typical of the late-summer rainy season. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit afternoon maxima, consistent with climatological normals of roughly 23–25 °C. Model consensus and current observations of persistent moisture and light winds underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C (51 % implied probability), with secondary support for 24 °C and 26 °C reflecting minor spread in guidance. No heat-wave signals or clearing trends have emerged in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,497Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services converge on a daytime high of 24–25 °C for Mexico City on 28 August, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, widespread cloud cover, and frequent convective showers typical of the late-summer rainy season. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit afternoon maxima, consistent with climatological normals of roughly 23–25 °C. Model consensus and current observations of persistent moisture and light winds underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C (51 % implied probability), with secondary support for 24 °C and 26 °C reflecting minor spread in guidance. No heat-wave signals or clearing trends have emerged in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,497Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services converge on a daytime high of 24–25 °C for Mexico City on 28 August, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, widespread cloud cover, and frequent convective showers typical of the late-summer rainy season. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit afternoon maxima, consistent with climatological normals of roughly 23–25 °C. Model consensus and current observations of persistent moisture and light winds underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C (51 % implied probability), with secondary support for 24 °C and 26 °C reflecting minor spread in guidance. No heat-wave signals or clearing trends have emerged in the latest runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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