Forecast models for Chongqing show moderate uncertainty in the overnight low for August 28 amid lingering moisture from typhoon remnants and subtropical high pressure, with expected values clustered near 26–28°C under variable cloud cover and scattered rain. Persistent humidity and potential evening thunderstorms limit radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while steering patterns and timing of any clearing will determine whether the minimum dips toward 25°C or holds above 27°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but current near-term dynamics favor the tight spread of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.