**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin em 27 de agosto?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
95°F ou menos
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
95°F ou menos
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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