National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies with west-southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (33.5%) brackets. Late-summer synoptic conditions featuring surface high pressure and subsidence favor efficient daytime heating near seasonal normals of 79–82°F, though modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty this close to the event; traders appear to weigh the official guidance most heavily while discounting outliers outside 76–81°F given the absence of significant forecast shifts in recent runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 25 de agosto?
78-79°F 46%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 46%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
67°F or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$48 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$7 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$368 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$223 Vol.
46%
80-81°F
$80 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$55 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies with west-southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (33.5%) brackets. Late-summer synoptic conditions featuring surface high pressure and subsidence favor efficient daytime heating near seasonal normals of 79–82°F, though modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty this close to the event; traders appear to weigh the official guidance most heavily while discounting outliers outside 76–81°F given the absence of significant forecast shifts in recent runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$837Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies with west-southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (33.5%) brackets. Late-summer synoptic conditions featuring surface high pressure and subsidence favor efficient daytime heating near seasonal normals of 79–82°F, though modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty this close to the event; traders appear to weigh the official guidance most heavily while discounting outliers outside 76–81°F given the absence of significant forecast shifts in recent runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$837Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park on August 25 project a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies with west-southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (33.5%) brackets. Late-summer synoptic conditions featuring surface high pressure and subsidence favor efficient daytime heating near seasonal normals of 79–82°F, though modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty this close to the event; traders appear to weigh the official guidance most heavily while discounting outliers outside 76–81°F given the absence of significant forecast shifts in recent runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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