Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF position the highest temperature in Paris on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 27°C. A northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating after the recent dissipation of any late-summer warmth, while typical August variability keeps extremes below 30°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with GFS and European runs converging on similar maxima. Historical late-August baselines around 23–25°C provide context, though current guidance indicates slightly above-average conditions. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 25 de agosto?
27°C 35%
28°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
35%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 35%
28°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$8 Vol.
2%
24°C
$15 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$79 Vol.
17%
27°C
$58 Vol.
35%
28°C
$7 Vol.
25%
29°C
$67 Vol.
12%
30°C
$44 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF position the highest temperature in Paris on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 27°C. A northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating after the recent dissipation of any late-summer warmth, while typical August variability keeps extremes below 30°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with GFS and European runs converging on similar maxima. Historical late-August baselines around 23–25°C provide context, though current guidance indicates slightly above-average conditions. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$293Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF position the highest temperature in Paris on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 27°C. A northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating after the recent dissipation of any late-summer warmth, while typical August variability keeps extremes below 30°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with GFS and European runs converging on similar maxima. Historical late-August baselines around 23–25°C provide context, though current guidance indicates slightly above-average conditions. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$293Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF position the highest temperature in Paris on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 27°C. A northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies are limiting daytime heating after the recent dissipation of any late-summer warmth, while typical August variability keeps extremes below 30°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with GFS and European runs converging on similar maxima. Historical late-August baselines around 23–25°C provide context, though current guidance indicates slightly above-average conditions. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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