Recent National Weather Service forecasts anchor the market around an 82°F high for New York City on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus points to temperatures near or slightly below the Central Park climatological average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid air and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating and convective development. These conditions favor the 80–83°F bins holding the bulk of implied probability, though minor forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the daily maximum across bin thresholds ahead of official Central Park observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 23 de agosto?
82-83°F 47%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 8%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 47%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 8%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts anchor the market around an 82°F high for New York City on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus points to temperatures near or slightly below the Central Park climatological average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid air and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating and convective development. These conditions favor the 80–83°F bins holding the bulk of implied probability, though minor forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the daily maximum across bin thresholds ahead of official Central Park observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions