Recent Met Office guidance highlights warm, humid air ahead of a slow-moving frontal system, with yellow thunderstorm warnings and heavy rain suppressing afternoon insolation across London. Model consensus points to a peak near 24–26 °C as thick cloud and precipitation limit surface heating, consistent with observed morning readings of 19–20 °C. Earlier seasonal baselines and regional analogs support this range when convective activity dominates. Updated model runs and radar trends through midday will refine the exact maximum, directly informing the market-implied 50 % probability on 25 °C versus the 28.5 % on 24 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres em 27 de agosto?
25°C 45%
24°C 35%
23°C 12%
26°C 7%
$49,934 Vol.
$49,934 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
35%
25°C
45%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 35%
23°C 12%
26°C 7%
$49,934 Vol.
$49,934 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
35%
25°C
45%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance highlights warm, humid air ahead of a slow-moving frontal system, with yellow thunderstorm warnings and heavy rain suppressing afternoon insolation across London. Model consensus points to a peak near 24–26 °C as thick cloud and precipitation limit surface heating, consistent with observed morning readings of 19–20 °C. Earlier seasonal baselines and regional analogs support this range when convective activity dominates. Updated model runs and radar trends through midday will refine the exact maximum, directly informing the market-implied 50 % probability on 25 °C versus the 28.5 % on 24 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions