Recent forecast model runs from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services indicate Munich will experience partly cloudy skies and easterly flow on August 27, supporting peak temperatures of 30–31 °C as the most likely outcome. These conditions favor moderate diurnal heating under a stable high-pressure pattern, with limited cloud interference and light winds that allow surface warming without strong mixing. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat retention or timing of any thin cloud bands create the close contest between 30 °C and 31 °C seen in trader pricing, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C reflect smaller but plausible deviations if insolation or advection shifts slightly. Updated model guidance expected later today will further refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique em 27 de agosto?
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services indicate Munich will experience partly cloudy skies and easterly flow on August 27, supporting peak temperatures of 30–31 °C as the most likely outcome. These conditions favor moderate diurnal heating under a stable high-pressure pattern, with limited cloud interference and light winds that allow surface warming without strong mixing. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat retention or timing of any thin cloud bands create the close contest between 30 °C and 31 °C seen in trader pricing, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C reflect smaller but plausible deviations if insolation or advection shifts slightly. Updated model guidance expected later today will further refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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