Forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, GFS, and other models indicate mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C under stable high pressure. Slight differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and exact wind shifts explain the tight split between the 30°C (42.5%) and 31°C (45.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day trend changes, keeping market-implied odds aligned with the narrow uncertainty range typical for late-summer plateau temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 29 de agosto?
31°C 46%
30°C 43%
32°C 9%
29°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
43%
31°C
46%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 43%
32°C 9%
29°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
25°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$112 Vol.
2%
29°C
$527 Vol.
4%
30°C
$895 Vol.
43%
31°C
$898 Vol.
46%
32°C
$334 Vol.
9%
33°C
$238 Vol.
2%
34°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, GFS, and other models indicate mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C under stable high pressure. Slight differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and exact wind shifts explain the tight split between the 30°C (42.5%) and 31°C (45.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day trend changes, keeping market-implied odds aligned with the narrow uncertainty range typical for late-summer plateau temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,734Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, GFS, and other models indicate mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C under stable high pressure. Slight differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and exact wind shifts explain the tight split between the 30°C (42.5%) and 31°C (45.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day trend changes, keeping market-implied odds aligned with the narrow uncertainty range typical for late-summer plateau temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,734Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, GFS, and other models indicate mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions over Madrid on August 29, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C under stable high pressure. Slight differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and exact wind shifts explain the tight split between the 30°C (42.5%) and 31°C (45.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day trend changes, keeping market-implied odds aligned with the narrow uncertainty range typical for late-summer plateau temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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